S&P 500 Loses Streak, but Hopes for Fourth Quarter
The S&P 500 is facing its first three-quarter losing streak since 2009, but it has typically done well in the fourth quarter.
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It's good to see the market rallying again after a few tough months. Investors seem to be regaining some confidence as we head into the fourth quarter. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is poised for its best day in over two months, which is a very positive sign. Here's hoping that this upward trend continues and we can avoid a recession.
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It's normal for analysts to have different opinions on where the stock market is headed. However, the fact that Goldman Sachs and Bank of America are both projecting a decline in the S&P for 2022 is cause for concern. If their predictions are accurate, it could mean a tough year ahead for investors.
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There is a chance that the market will rebound in the final quarter of the year, thanks to the so-called Santa Claus rally. This is a trend where stocks generally rise in the last five trading days of the year and the first two trading days of the new year. However, it would take a dramatic recovery to reverse the overall downward trend for the Dow, S&P and Nasdaq, all of which are down more than 20% year-to-date. Stocks rallied briefly between June and August, but then fell back to new lows in October.
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While it is understandable that worries about another potential financial crisis are spooking some investors, it is important to remember that this is not 2008. Banks are in a much better position now than they were then, and there is no reason to believe that a similar crisis will occur. Citgroup analyst Andrew Coombs noted in a recent report that he is "wary of drawing parallels with banks in 2008," affirming that "this is not 2008." investors should take comfort in these words and remember that the current situation is not analogous to the one that preceded the last financial crisis.
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The 4th quarter is often seen as a time for the stock market to rebound and post strong gains. And while that may be the case in some years, it's important to remember that the market doesn't always behave predictably.
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